NFL football, the entree to college football’s appetizer, is officially in full swing. Now that each team has finished its first game, we can fire off some more accurate takes and predictions regarding what should be a fun year.
Of course, I got slaughtered gambling on the games this week, picking up right where I left off from last year. I’m usually hotter than hot when it comes to week one, opening day etc. but I’m 3-8 to start the NFL/college season.
That being said, it’s probably better to take everything I say in this post with a grain of salt.
The good:
I’ll start with the Dallas Cowboys, and I’ll call them exactly what they are: a great regular-season team. Dak Prescott is a very good quarterback in this league, and has a top-three wide receiver to throw the ball to in Ceedee Lamb. This defense is still one of, if not the best in the league and is borderline impossible to score on at home and against division rivals.
Am I happy that Ezekiel Elliot is a first-string running back in 2024? Of course not. However, when the Cowboys have the ball within 5 yards of the end zone it still seems as if he’s an automatic touchdown.
I can absolutely see the Cowboys winning the division this year (and inventing a new way to lose in the Wild Card Round).
Next, I want to talk about some quarterbacks I really like around this league. Baker Mayfield had some perfect passes this Sunday, and went on to throw for four touchdowns against a decent Washington team. I’ve always been a big fan of his, and couldn’t be happier that he finally found the right fit.
Although there were some bad decisions and overthrows mixed in, I was very impressed with Anthony Richardson in his first game back from injury. He threw a few bombs from odd positions and used his arm and legs to get into the end zone. Although he only went 9/19 with 212 yards and a 2:1 TD to interception ratio, I believe the rust will be shaken off come week two.
Sam Darnold looked like a new quarterback in his return to East Rutherford. He completed his first 12 passes, and his two touchdowns lead the Vikings to a 28-6 win against the Giants. He hit Justin Jefferson for some large gains and looked comfortable in his new role.
The so-so:
Let’s start with a team that I believe overachieved in 2023, and may have fooled some people into thinking they were a clear-cut division winner in 2024: the Green Bay Packers.
I’ve been hearing all offseason from outlets such as ESPN, Fox Sports, even Friday Beers that Jordan Love will win the NFL MVP this year. Let’s slow down folks! He had a very good season last year and turned it into a huge contract. However, he definitely doesn’t crack my top 5, and I believe he is one of the more overrated players in the NFL today. How quickly we forget that Patrick Mahomes plays in this same league.
Now that Love will miss a few weeks with a knee injury, Malik Willis will need to win at least one game to avoid essentially ending the Packers’ season. One of the league favorites heading into 2024 is facing a huge disaster early on.
Sticking with the NFC North, Caleb Williams looked okay in his NFL debut. There’s not much he can do with an offensive line that gives him no time, which is the complete opposite position he was in at USC. The defense/special teams earned Chicago the win on Sunday, but Williams leading the offense did not look great. He needs to get the ball off a bit quicker, or the line needs to figure out how to get him another second in the pocket. Otherwise, he’ll likely miss time with an injury down the road.
In Los Angeles, the Raiders fell to the Chargers 10-22. However, I don’t think quarterback Gardner Minshew looked that bad. People have been talking about how bad the Vegas quarterback room is all offseason, but I truly think this sentiment is incorrect.
I’ve made it clear in the past that I believe Minshew is more than capable of being a starting quarterback in this league. He’s had success in the past, and showed some great decision-making on Sunday. It won’t be a great season, but there will be no risk of Minshew losing the starting job to Aidan O’Connell.
The bad:
The New York Giants are as disgusting a football team as the uniforms they wore this weekend. How many years can we run the Daniel Jones experiment? Neutral fans, haters, and even (most) Giants fans can see that it just isn’t working, so why can’t the front office see that?
The defense will get a pass this week due to the horrific quarterback play, but they didn’t look very good against Sam Darnold either. Year in and year out, the Giants are at the bottom of the league and are the most BORING team it watch. I can confidently say nothing has changed this year.
The Cleveland Browns still owe the pervert (who now has another allegation against him) over $100 million until 2027. This, I believe, will go down as the worst contract in NFL history. Watson and the Browns hit rock bottom against Dallas on Sunday, and we’re maybe two weeks from a phantom injury to the quarterback, because his contract is guaranteed and there’s no reason for him to trot out there and lose. The Browns continue to prove that they are the worst-run organization in professional sports.
Lastly, the Cincinnati Bengals’ offense ruined a lot of survivor pools (including one of mine) with their embarrassing loss to the New England Patriots. Joe Burrow was visibly uncomfortable in the pocket, and missed reads to star wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase (who wasn’t in game shape himself) on multiple occasions.
This team is so far from the one that went to the Super Bowl a few years ago, and it looks like the Ravens are miles ahead of them in terms of talent. Let’s hope that this game was a product of injury jitters from Burrow, and that he snaps out of it starting next week.
Some gambles:
For this upcoming week, some plays I like are:
Colts -3
The Love injury may take some steam out of the Packers’ home opener, and the weather is not yet cold enough to be a factor. I like Richardson and the Colts as road favorites.
Seahawks -3
I won’t be fooled by the Patriots’ week one win. I don’t believe they’re even a half-decent football team, and I liked what I saw from Geno Smith on Sunday.
Bucs +7
Again, I really like Baker Mayfield. I do believe the Lions are the better team, but I believe the Bucs will keep this game close.