Gambling is starting to get tough.

It happens every year. Around week 4 or 5, we start to figure out which teams we like and which teams we dislike. The problem is, so does Vegas.

The Chicago Bears, who haven’t won a game in nearly a calendar year, came into last night’s game as 6-point underdogs. They were in Washington against the Commanders, who just came off a high-scoring thriller against the Philadelphia Eagles.

A spread less than a touchdown for this game was bait. The Bears have been terrible to this point, with the offense only showing some life against a Broncos team that had given up 70 points in their previous game.

Bookmakers are starting to set clear trap lines (i.e. the Dolphins as underdogs coming off that 70-point game) and it’s important that we don’t fall for them.

As you can tell, I didn’t bet on last night’s game. At this point in the year, I’m not just trying to put numbers up. I try to be smart with my bets and only take games I feel good about.

Something I do feel good about is playoff baseball this weekend. I’ll have a little division series preview tomorrow morning with one series pick that may surprise you.

Enjoy your Friday and have a great football/baseball weekend!