Another NFL Sunday is in the books, and it was a wild one. We saw a team drop 70 for the first time in over 50 years, the big bad Cowboys upset by a team trying to lose, and Josh McDaniels kick one of the softest field goals ever.
First off, let’s start with my picks. We went 1-2 yesterday, down 0.7 units. The Packers, who looked terrible in the first half, came back from down 17 after Derek Carr went down with a shoulder injury. That was certainly not the game I expected to win yesterday.
Minnesota’s playoff hopes are all but over, as there have only been a handful of teams to ever start 0-3 and still make the playoffs. Justin Herbert finally played up to his expectations, going off for 405 yards and 3 touchdowns, and poor clock management at the end of the game put a fork in the Vikings.
The parlay I made yesterday is what really made me angry. Although I did hedge (and I hope you did the same), I felt so good about it going into the night game. The Colts-Ravens game went exactly as I envisioned, and a Patriots safety on Zach Wilson sealed the win for them.
The way Jimmy G and the Raiders played last night, it never felt like -3 was winning. However, with about 4 minutes left in the game, Las Vegas was miraculously within one score. They needed 8 points to tie the game, and Josh McDaniels kicks a field goal on 4th down because the Steelers’ offense wasn’t moving the ball. On the attempt, Pittsburgh committed a leverage penalty which resulted in an automatic first down. So Vegas runs a few more plays, gets down to the 15, then STILL KICKS THE FIELD GOAL after burning a precious minute and a half off the clock. In Josh McDaniels’ logic, the Raiders had a better shot putting the ball in the end zone from 80 yards with 10 seconds left.
Enough about me and my troubles, we saw some great games yesterday including the Dolphins going nuclear and dropping 70 points on the Broncos. There were a lot of people who believed Denver would come out strong in this must-win game, but they did the complete opposite. The Cowboys defense was shredded by an Arizona team that came to play, and they had no answer on offense with a depleted line. Another huge upset we saw was the Texans over the Jaguars. C.J. Stroud looks very good in his first three weeks as an NFL quarterback. Maybe he can be the one to finally stop the trend of Ohio State QBs sucking in the NFL. Speaking of which, the Bears look like the worst team in the league right now, as they were unsurprisingly blown out by the Chiefs yesterday. The Bears playoff talk and Justin Fields hype during the offseason was always laughable. This is a perpetually bad football team with a bad quarterback.
The Lions, Browns, Bills and Seahawks all took care of business as favorites yesterday, with Seattle-Carolina being the only relatively close game. Josh Allen humbled the Commanders, and the Lions’ defense stifled the Bijan Robinson and Falcons.
It was a good day of football, and we’re right back at it tonight with two more games. Tonight’s pick is going to be a Monday Night Football parlay:
Eagles -5 and Rams-Bengals o43.5 +270 1u.
Cincinnati is honoring Boomer Esiason and Chad Johnson into their new ring of honor tonight and the stadium should be electric. Joe Burrow will be a game-time decision but the offense is due for a big game regardless. The Bengals just signed A.J. McCarron who has some starting experience on this team. The Eagles, well, they’re the Eagles. As much as I like Tampa Bay, this should be a come-back-down-to-Earth game for Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers.
Enjoy tonight and we’ll see you back here tomorrow!
RECORD – 2-2 +0.2u
Tough Money Sports 